June 24, 2025

BUSINESS

KSE-100 Cascades Over 700 Points Amid Murky IMF-Tethered Fiscal Speculation

Market Pillars Crumble as Caution Cloaks Trade Preceding Budget Disclosure

KARACHI, May 21 — A relentless wave of offloading gripped the Pakistan Stock Exchange on Tuesday, as tremors of trepidation surged through investor corridors over the impending national budget, with the looming shadow of IMF stipulations casting a long pall. The KSE-100 Index relinquished 718.51 points—translating to a 0.6% retreat—closing the day bruised at 118,971.12.

This rout arrived in the aftermath of Monday’s lethargic drift, wherein the bourse exhibited a momentary flirtation with euphoria by breaching an intraday pinnacle of 120,285.55 points, only to fizzle into a tepid finish at 119,689.63, reflecting a nominal uptick of merely 40 points or 0.03%—a whisper of consolidation whispering beneath the surface.

Tuesday’s attrition spanned across the index’s bulwarks, with juggernauts from the financial, automotive, and energy arenas caving under pressure. Noteworthy decliners dragging the index downward included MCB, UBL, PSO, SNGPL, MARI, OGDC, PPL, and POL—all wallowing in crimson.

“The benchmark dissolved into negative terrain, as apprehensive investors adopted a defensive gait ahead of the fiscal unveiling. With prevailing macro signals largely baked in, sentiment stood anaemic—on pause, in limbo—awaiting catalytic cues potent enough to rekindle bullish embers,” remarked Ismail Iqbal Securities in its post-market digest.

Market denizens remain ensnared in ambiguity, gripped by foreboding that the fiscal year 2026 blueprint—likely sculpted under IMF tutelage—could unfurl austerity-tinged initiatives: intensified taxation, subsidy retrenchments, and structural reconfigurations that may impair corporate margins.

Analysts opine that this fog of uncertainty may not dissipate in the immediate horizon. Expect spasmodic volatility to punctuate the trading landscape as fiscal contours and sectoral edicts gradually unfurl under the watchful gaze of the Fund.